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Car Subscription Services Forecasted To Grow Significantly Through 2020

Book by Cadillac is somewhat of a pioneer. General Motors’ luxury brand was the first to launch a mainstream car-subscription service with a pilot in New York City. Now, the brand has taken it to Munich, Germany, and it will head to Dallas and Los Angeles.

The Financial Times reported on Thursday that this ownership model will continue to grow, and grow significantly, through 2020. While it opens up a jar of fresh opportunities for consumers who want to purchase mobility, but not a car, it brings new challenges with it, too.

The biggest issue will be depreciation. Since automakers are basically selling the car to themselves, it will become a very capital-intensive service. It’s part of the reason luxury brands work best for the model. The premium prices can offset things like insurance, maintenance and some depreciation.

Philippe Houchois, an analyst at Jefferies, said, “The risk is we underestimated how much the carmakers know about the fundamental values of their vehicles.”

Another factor will be vehicle availability. If the services grow at the forecasted rates—over 40 percent of cars on the road subscribed to, rather than bought or leased—automakers will need to store plenty of cars if on-demand swapping is part of the platform. Cadillac and rival Porsche will offer white-glove, on-demand delivery. Subscribers can take an Escalade for the week and be in a CTS-V for the weekend with the $1,800 per month rate.

“You have to build in a fairly low utilisation rate, otherwise you’re going to have unhappy customers because they can never get the car they want,” Houchois added.

Still, these challenges may outweight the benefits. Cadillac said its Book services has attracted numerous customers to the brand that have never owned a Cadillac vehicle. In fact, 90 percent of customers in New York City have never owned a Cadillac. The significant take rate suggests opportunity, but not without new challenges in a redefined auto industry.

Former GM Authority staff writer.

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Comments

  1. I’m not surprised that it’s potentially popular.

    Just wondering if this falls into retail, fleet, or new category TBD …

    Reply
    1. I’d say it’s a rental, where Cadillac (or whatever manufacturer) is in the rental business. Ford Motor owned Hertz Rental for 18 years until 2005, under a similar model. Hertz used Fords (only) for their rental fleet, then sold the used cars after a while. The new Cadillac model is a longer term rental, not normally rental for a few days, but otherwise looks like the same model. But will the “book” customers be happy when their choice of vehicles is “not available” again and again?

      Personally I think it’s a gimmick that won’t last. It may help where there’s over-production of certain models, but eventually those cars will have to be sold, as “used, fleet”. And if Cadillac is to make a convertible, as they have in the past and probably should now, do they keep plenty of convertibles in stock for the summer driving demand by “book”?

      I’m not sure they have this all figured out. But Melody Lee is in charge, so her inherent brilliance will shine through. There’s nothing she can’t do, or so GM seems to believe.

      Reply
  2. I love this book by Cadillac! What a great idea, what a great service, what a great way to be able to drive what ever car you need during the year.

    Reply

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